Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property wpdb::$categories is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php on line 668

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property wpdb::$post2cat is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php on line 668

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property wpdb::$link2cat is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php on line 668

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Theme::offsetExists($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetExists(mixed $offset): bool, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-theme.php on line 554

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Theme::offsetGet($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetGet(mixed $offset): mixed, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-theme.php on line 595

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Theme::offsetSet($offset, $value) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetSet(mixed $offset, mixed $value): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-theme.php on line 535

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Theme::offsetUnset($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetUnset(mixed $offset): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-theme.php on line 544

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/comment-template.php on line 1739

Deprecated: wp_getimagesize(): Implicitly marking parameter $image_info as nullable is deprecated, the explicit nullable type must be used instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/media.php on line 5006

Deprecated: Return type of WP_REST_Request::offsetExists($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetExists(mixed $offset): bool, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-request.php on line 960

Deprecated: Return type of WP_REST_Request::offsetGet($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetGet(mixed $offset): mixed, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-request.php on line 980

Deprecated: Return type of WP_REST_Request::offsetSet($offset, $value) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetSet(mixed $offset, mixed $value): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-request.php on line 992

Deprecated: Return type of WP_REST_Request::offsetUnset($offset) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetUnset(mixed $offset): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-request.php on line 1003

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::current() should either be compatible with Iterator::current(): mixed, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 151

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::next() should either be compatible with Iterator::next(): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 175

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::key() should either be compatible with Iterator::key(): mixed, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 164

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::valid() should either be compatible with Iterator::valid(): bool, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 186

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::rewind() should either be compatible with Iterator::rewind(): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 138

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::offsetExists($index) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetExists(mixed $offset): bool, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 75

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::offsetGet($index) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetGet(mixed $offset): mixed, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 89

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::offsetSet($index, $value) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetSet(mixed $offset, mixed $value): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 110

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::offsetUnset($index) should either be compatible with ArrayAccess::offsetUnset(mixed $offset): void, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 127

Deprecated: Return type of WP_Block_List::count() should either be compatible with Countable::count(): int, or the #[\ReturnTypeWillChange] attribute should be used to temporarily suppress the notice in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-list.php on line 199

Deprecated: Jetpack::setup_xmlrpc_handlers(): Implicitly marking parameter $xmlrpc_server as nullable is deprecated, the explicit nullable type must be used instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/class.jetpack.php on line 939

Deprecated: Automattic\Jetpack\Connection\Manager::setup_xmlrpc_handlers(): Implicitly marking parameter $xmlrpc_server as nullable is deprecated, the explicit nullable type must be used instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/vendor/automattic/jetpack-connection/src/class-manager.php on line 110

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property Automattic\Jetpack\Connection\Manager::$error_handler is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/vendor/automattic/jetpack-connection/src/class-manager.php on line 80

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Instagram_Gallery::$is_wpcom is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/class-wpcom-rest-api-v2-endpoint-instagram-gallery.php on line 23

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Mailchimp::$wpcom_is_wpcom_only_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/class-wpcom-rest-api-v2-endpoint-mailchimp.php on line 17

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Tweetstorm_Gather::$wpcom_is_wpcom_only_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/class-wpcom-rest-api-v2-endpoint-tweetstorm-gather.php on line 21

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Tweetstorm_Gather::$is_wpcom is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/class-wpcom-rest-api-v2-endpoint-tweetstorm-gather.php on line 22

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Gutenberg_Available_Extensions::$wpcom_is_site_specific_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/gutenberg-available-extensions.php on line 20

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Memberships::$wpcom_is_wpcom_only_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/memberships.php on line 23

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Memberships::$wpcom_is_site_specific_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/memberships.php on line 24

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_REST_API_V2_Endpoint_Subscribers::$wpcom_is_wpcom_only_endpoint is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/_inc/lib/core-api/wpcom-endpoints/subscribers.php on line 15

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/extensions/blocks/podcast-player/podcast-player.php on line 157

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/extensions/blocks/podcast-player/podcast-player.php on line 157

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property Automattic\Jetpack\Sync\Queue::$random_int is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/vendor/automattic/jetpack-sync/src/class-queue.php on line 38

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property Automattic\Jetpack\Sync\Queue::$random_int is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/vendor/automattic/jetpack-sync/src/class-queue.php on line 38

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/widgets/migrate-to-core/image-widget.php on line 195

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/widgets/migrate-to-core/gallery-widget.php on line 56

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property Publicize_UI::$in_jetpack is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/publicize.php on line 53

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/calypsoify/class-jetpack-calypsoify.php on line 128

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/calypsoify/class-jetpack-calypsoify.php on line 129

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/calypsoify/class-jetpack-calypsoify.php on line 133

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/calypsoify/class-jetpack-calypsoify.php on line 134

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/calypsoify/class-jetpack-calypsoify.php on line 135

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 219

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 220

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 227

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 229

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 231

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 248

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 249

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 267

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 268

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 270

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 271

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 273

Deprecated: Using ${var} in strings is deprecated, use {$var} instead in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/simple-payments/simple-payments.php on line 275

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WPCOM_Widget_Goodreads::$shelves is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/widgets/goodreads.php on line 33

Deprecated: DateTime::__construct(): Passing null to parameter #1 ($datetime) of type string is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/script-loader.php on line 348

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property WP_Block_Type::$plan_check is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/class-wp-block-type.php on line 333

Deprecated: Creation of dynamic property Jetpack_Shortcode_Unavailable::$shortcodes is deprecated in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/modules/shortcodes/unavailable.php on line 19

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/wp-db.php:668) in /homepages/34/d43362328/htdocs/ydontu/blog/wp-includes/rest-api/class-wp-rest-server.php on line 1648
{"id":86,"date":"2006-02-16T20:44:07","date_gmt":"2006-02-16T20:44:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.whydontyou.org.uk\/blog\/2006\/02\/16\/statistical-crackpottery\/"},"modified":"2006-02-16T20:44:07","modified_gmt":"2006-02-16T20:44:07","slug":"statistical-crackpottery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.whydontyou.org.uk\/blog\/2006\/02\/16\/statistical-crackpottery\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistical Crackpottery"},"content":{"rendered":"

Reading the recent post here (http:\/\/www.whydontyou.org.uk\/blog\/2006\/02\/16\/presenting-both-sides\/<\/a>) reminded me of a guy on tv who was spouting nonsense this morning.<\/p>\n

One of the guests on the “Wright Stuff” on Channel 5 this morning (I was off work so had nothing better to watch) was talking about confidence.<\/p>\n

As part of his raison d’\u00c3\u00aatre he claimed that studies showed children with high self esteem \/ self confidence did better academically and as a result of this, raising a childs self confidence will impove his or her academic performance. Now, if you find no problem with this then I suspect you really should stop reading now. (note, this is something often repeated – http:\/\/ohioline.osu.edu\/hyg-fact\/5000\/5263.html<\/a> for example)
\nBefore I go on, I am not trying to say people shouldnt raise children’s self confidence or that having a high self confidence is a bad thing. I am also not (at the moment) trying to disparage studies which use blatantly self-assessed values (like “happiness,” “self-confidence,” etc.)<\/p>\n

My issue revolves almost totally around the causal effects here.<\/p>\n

The man (never bothered to find out who he was) has assumed that A causes B and therefore doing more of A will mean more of B. In reality there is (based on his evidence) no way of knowing that.<\/p>\n

Self confidence and self esteem are products of a persons sucess. If you are good at something, and praised for it, there is the tendency to become confident about doing it. Logic screams out that children who are academically sucessfull will be more self confident when questioned (as the questions are in an academic context and relate to academic type work) which in effect implies A does not cause B but is caused by B. The claims that improving a childs self confidence will mean they “do better in life” does not really hold true based on the evidence. If anything, improving self confidence without basing this on actual sucess is more likely to create a situation where the person will fall down spectacularly.<\/p>\n

Sadly I no longer have the back issue and cant find it on the online search, but New Scientist did an article on this last year (or 2004) detailing research that had in fact identified improved self confidence was not a causal agent for sucess, and more often lead to bulying and arrogance.<\/p>\n

Share this:<\/h3>